Task 2: Regional Wind-Wave Projections

COWCLIP aims to encourage, document, and inter-compare regional wind-wave climate projections, which have been developed to support local studies assessing coastal impacts of climate change studies.

Many regional wave climate projections have been developed amongst the international community, and COWCLIP is aiming to foster global-regional intercomparison studies.

The following table details previous regional wind-wave climate projection studies from researchers engaged with COWCLIP. Details will be updated soon to reflect current activities.

We welcome additional contributions. Please contact us if you wish to provide details of a study not listed below or would like to become involved.

Region GCMs Atm Model Wave Model Reference Projection time-slice Scenarios Institute Lead Researcher
Mediter- ranean/ Adriatic GCMs RCM (CIRCE?) WAM 1958-2001 1950-2100

1950-2100

SRESA1B

RCP8.5

CMCC

CMCC

Piero Lionello

Piero Lionello

North Sea/Danish/Baltic ARPEGE/BCM/ECHAM5

EC-Earth, NorESM

HIRHAM5

HIRHAM5, WRF

MIKE21SW

MIKE21SW

1961-1990

1981-2010

2071-2100

2071-2100

SRES A1B

RCP4.5,8.5

DHI

DHI

Morten Rugjberg

Morten Rugjberg

NW Europe HadCM3 RCM(?) WAM 1960-2010

1960-1990

2010-2100

2070-2100

SRES A1B

SRES A1B, A2, B2

NOC

NOC

Judith Wolf

Judith Wolf

Europe – Atlantic Coast Multiple GCMs RCM (EuroCORDEX) WWIII 1960-2010 2010-2100 RCP4.5, 8.5 NOC Judith Wolf
Iberian Peninsula EC-Earth WRF (CORDEX) WAM 1971-2010 2010-2100 RCP8.5 CINAV Alvaro Semedo
Europe 19 GCMs GCM-Weather Type WWIII/ Statistical 1979-2014 2010-2100 RCP2.6,4.5,8.5 IHCantabria Melisa Menendez
NE Atlantic ? ARPEGE-CLIMAT TOMAWAC 1961-2000 2061-2100 SRES A1B, A2, B1 EDF Amelie Joly
Carribean ? ARPEGE-CLIMAT TOMAWAC 1961-2000 2061-2100 SRES A1B, A2, B1 EDF Amelie Joly
Indian Ocean (Reunion) ? ARPEGE-CLIMAT TOMAWAC 1961-2000 2061-2100 SRES A1B, A2, B1 EDF Amelie Joly
Arctic 5 GCMs ? WWIII 1979-2013 2026-2045, 2081-2100 RCP4.5, 8.5 Environment Canada Xiaolan Wang
Arctic MIROC5 NARR/MIROC5 WWIII->SWAN 1981-2010 2010-2100 (Storm only) RCP4.5 USGS Li Erikson
US & Canada West Coast BCC, GFDL, INMCM4, MIROC5 GCMs WWIII 1979-2005 2026-2045, 2081-2100 RCP4.5, 8.5 USGS Li Erikson
North-California Coast GFDL-ESM2M Statistical downscaled (MACA) SWAN+Delft3d 1980-2010 2010-2100 RCP4.5 USGS Li Erikson
South California Coast GFDL-ESM2M CaRD10 SWAN+Delft3d (storms only) 1980-2010 2010-2100 RCP4.5 USGS Li Erikson
East Asia – Japan Ensemble MRI-AGCMC3.2H&S WWIII 1979-2004 2075-2100 SRESA1B (4SST+3PPE)

RCP8.5 (4SST)

KyotoUni

KyotoUni

Nobuhito Mori

Nobuhito Mori

SE Australia CSIRO Mk3.5, GFDLcm2, 2.1, CCAM (Raw + Bias-adjusted) CCAM WWIII->SWAN 1981-2000 2031-2050, 2081-2100 SRES A2 & B1 CSIRO Mark Hemer